- The Yankees can package Pavano, Bruney, (maybe an Ohlendorf) and get back strong catching prospect Jeff Clement who is currently blocked by Kenji Johjima. Even following Clement's injury-shortened sophmore year in the minors (the majority spent at AAA) and an awful Hawaiian Winter League the Mariners may still reject an offer. Unless of course, Pavano is back to his 2004 form, which may halt the Yankees dealing him altogether. Keith Law's take on Clement is surprisingly dreary.
- The Yankees are able to move horror-show Kyle Farnsworth, maybe bringing to an end 8th innings full of free passes and frozen-ropes.
These
midseason projections materialized out of creativity as much as rational thought. Giving up on
Igawa after a 1/2 season may be a bit brash, especially when he is earning (luxury-tax or not) $40 million over the next four years. However, should Clemens choose New York while Hughes continues ravaging the minors, somebody needs to make room and it will not be a healthy Wang,
Pettitte or
Mussina.
There is always the possibility that the Yankees leave Hughes down at AAA Scranton, continuing to closely monitor his innings pitched until he reaches the targeted 180 mark. With the addition of Clemens, even more pressure is alleviated for
Igawa.
However, should they move
Igawa to the pen
after gaining Clemens and Hughes, the Yankees could have a dynamite rotation. An '07 stable of Wang, Clemens,
Pettitte,
Mussina and Hughes means business. As does the addition of Sanchez to a bullpen already juggling late-inning arms.
It may be unlikely that Seattle deals a first rounder with as much potential as Clement for someone as brittle as
Pavano, but a strong first half from Carl the Crutch will attract multiple suitors. Many of whom understand the front-end type stuff
Pavano is capable of harnessing when healthy.
This depends on how much Seattle covets Clement - as well as
Johjima - and how much they covet starting pitching. Following their failure to sign free agent Jason Schmidt (or Barry
Zito), the M's rotation must bare Jarrod
Washburn's unpredictability, Jeff Weaver's AL return, the loss of Gil
Meche and a shaky second season from future stud Felix Hernandez.
Sure Clement earned himself the Johnny Bench award as the nation's top catcher, but a deal that brings a rejuvenated
Pavano, bullpen arm in
Bruney and mid-rotation guy like
Ohlendorf (whose on the
MLB brink) may draw their interest. If
Johjima has a strong start in '07 while their pitching falters, they may need those arms - even if they must send Clement and another above-average prospect packing.
Also of note is the fact that
Baseball Prospectus ranked the top catching prospects on
PECOTA and
Clement came in at #18. The rating is hurt by Clement's injuries and is not very reliable with minor
leaguers, but these are chips working in the Yankees' favor. A cerebral Clement could back up Jorge for a couple years until
Posada retires. At which time he would be ready to carry the torch.
Unrealistic? Maybe.
More interesting than "outsiders" reporting Mariano will be in a Red
Sox uniform next year? I hope so.